Tag Archives: 2013 Over/Unders

‘The Game’ (Ohio State vs. Michigan) Prediction

‘In the 1968 Ohio State versus Michigan game, already up 42-14, Ohio State scored another touchdown. Woody Hayes then called for a two point conversion, which they converted. When asked why he did it, Woody said; “Because the rules won’t let you go for three.”‘

That quote sums up the genuine dislike between these two teams. I grew up in Tallahassee and the FSU/Florida rivalry doesn’t come close. In Columbus, this game makes or breaks the season. This year, the focus is slightly diminished because Ohio State has already punched their ticket to the Big 10 Championship game next weekend. However, make no mistake, this game is still huge. Ohio State comes in undefeated with an outside chance of a National Championship berth. Michigan, on the other hand, has a chance to redeem what’s been a disappointing season and ruin the championship run of their rival (see 1969 or the entire John Cooper era).

Here are my quick thoughts. Urban Meyer is 21-3 in rivalry games from his time at Bowling Green, Utah and Florida. Advantage – Ohio State

Ohio State has a ton more talent and is better coached – Advantage – Ohio State

There are numerous articles that Michigan fans are selling their tickets in droves (some tickets are rumored to be as low as $60). This means lots of OSU fans at the game…. Advantage – Ohio State

Game day weather – Cold with a moderate wind – This helps Ohio State because they’ll be able to execute their game plan without having to worry about footing/rain/snow – Advantage – Ohio State

Winning streak – Ohio State has won a school record 23 games in a row! – Advantage – Ohio State

Horrible Uniforms – Advantage Michigan

Given the way the teams have played this year, I really think Ohio State should win easily. The question will be if they can play within their emotions and avoid making costly plays (fumbles, interceptions, etc.). My prediction is that Braxton Miller and Carlos Hyde run wild over the wolverines. The Ohio State defense is just bad enough to give Michigan some hope, but in the end, Ohio State wins 31-17.

As an added bonus, here’s a picture from the game last year with Ohio State capping off an undefeated season and the kids storming the field in celebration.

IMG_1543

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Line – Ohio State by 16 (opened at 12)

Over/Under – 57

This week Predictions –  Ohio State does not cover and the Under

Last week – 2-0 (Hooray for Indiana)

Season – 7-10-1

If you want to talk about how Michigan sucks, or your general dislike of the school up north, feel free to drop a note below.

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2013 MLB Over/Under Results

Thankfully, the debacle that is the 2013 Minnesota Twins has finally come to an end. The Twins finished by becoming utterly unwatchable and losing the last six games of the year to finish 66-96. Once Joe Mauer got hurt, I couldn’t bring myself to watch anymore. What’s worse, is the Twins have hardly anything to build on for next year. They have an above-average second baseman, a good prospect in Arcia, an amazing closer in Perkins, and Joe Mauer. They still have no pitching hardly any trade-able assets. The immediate future is certainly bleak in MN. Here’s to 2015 if Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano continue to progress.

Now that the season is mercifully over, it’s time to review the over/under predictions that were made in April. As is usually the case, this is a great study on I shouldn’t be allowed to gamble. If you are Gleeman, Tom or John Bonnes, I highly encourage you to start planning a trip to Vegas in late March of 2014.

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Update: Just received the following email…. too soon 😦

9-30-2013 2-50-15 PM

If you have any thoughts or want to make fun of me for my horrible picks (although I was right on the Twins), feel free to drop a note in the comments.

It’s Almost Next Year!!! Opening Day on April 1!

Opening day is nearly here! The Minnesota Twins open at 4:10pm versus the Detroit Tigers on April 1. For those who don’t follow baseball, the Twins are coming off consecutive last place finishes in the their division. In 2011 they won a grand total of 63 games and in 2012 only won 66. This year doesn’t look to be much better with Vegas putting the estimated win total at a robust 68.5 wins.

Part of the beauty of opening day is that anything can happen for one game. The Twins are facing  the odds-on favorite to win the division in the Tigers. Detroit will be pitching Justin Verlander. He’s not only the best pitcher in the league, but also won the MVP two years ago making him the best player in the league. The odds are not in the Twins favor, but like so many things in life… hope springs eternal. If Baltimore and Oakland could compete last year, anything can happen. With that said, here are a few things I’m looking forward to this year.

  • Watching Joe Mauer play
  • Listening to and watching Vin Scully, Bob Uecker and Charlie Steiner via the MLB.tv package
  • Seeing if the Twins can get any value from trading Justin Morneau or Josh Willingham at the trade deadline
  • Watching Trevor Plouffe and Aaron Hicks development (I think Plouffe is going to have another breakout year)
  • Watching Glen Perkins and Jared Burton
  • Reading the great Aaron Gleeman and Joe Posnanski (who can also be found at http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/)

Another one of my favorite things about baseball season is listening to the Gleeman and the Geek podcast for their annual Over/Under predictions. I thought it may be fun to jot down their predictions and join in with some of my friends. The plan is to check back at the end of the year with how everyone did. If we were in Vegas, my top picks would be the under on the Twins and Red Sox and the over on the Rays. With that said, below are the over/under predictions (Note: on the podcast, Bonnes said he was confident about 5, but I only counted 4).

overUnder

If you have anything you’re looking forward to for the upcoming MLB season or want to get in on the over/under fun please feel free to drop a note in the comments.